It is worth noting that this meeting not only released the above two reassurances, but also focused on stabilizing the property market and the stock market. The operating environment of the A-share market next year will probably not be bad.In terms of Hong Kong stocks, the Hang Seng Index was quickly pulled up by 2% from 3: 18, and the housing stocks in Hong Kong stocks strengthened in late trading, and Rongxin China rose by more than 10%; The Hang Seng Science and Technology Index rose sharply by 4%; FTSE China A50 index futures rose by more than 4%; China ETF rose more than 10% at night when it was 3 times richer ...Second, in the case of achieving the goal, we will continue to adhere to a positive macro-adjustment policy! The meeting stressed that it is necessary to do a good job in economic work next year, implement more active and promising macro policies, expand domestic demand, promote the integrated development of scientific and technological innovation and industrial innovation, stabilize the property market and stock market, prevent and resolve risks and external shocks in key areas, stabilize expectations, stimulate vitality, promote sustained economic recovery, continuously improve people's living standards, maintain social harmony and stability, and complete the objectives and tasks of the 14 th Five-Year Plan with high quality, so as to lay a solid foundation for achieving a good start of the 15 th Five-Year Plan.
According to the latest inflation data released by the Bureau of Statistics, in November this year, China's consumer price index rose by 0.2% year-on-year, down by 0.1% compared with October. It has been slowly weakening for four consecutive months, and it is still near the zero axis. At the same time, the PPI decreased by 2.5% in November, which was slightly higher than that in October, but it still performed poorly.In your brother's view, these two reassurances have released a very important policy signal!Last Friday, the A-share market and the Growth Enterprise Market index both broke through the key pressure level, and the market closed above the 3400-point integer mark and the 5-day line, getting rid of the previous box channel; Growth enterprise market refers to the key 20-day pressure level, but from the structural point of view, it is in the form of a box.
To understand this problem, we need to know the reasons for the divergence between the two indexes today, so as to judge the market trend in the later period.Once the domestic economic recovery falls short of expectations in the fourth quarter of this year, the top management will continue to increase all kinds of economic stabilization policies to ensure the smooth operation of the domestic economy in the first quarter of next year! In fact, this point can also be found in the Xinhua News Agency article. When it comes to fiscal policy, the Xinhua News Agency article shows that there is still more room for borrowing in China at present; When it comes to monetary policy, the Xinhua News Agency article shows that the counter-cyclical mediation of monetary policy will continue to increase in the future!During this period, many investors are worried that the economic growth rate is less than expected, and that the economic recovery is too fast, and the future policy support will decline. This mentality of being swayed by considerations of gain and loss is the main obstacle that causes the A-share market to hesitate. This Politburo meeting of the Chinese Communist Party meeting is the first time in 14 years that a "moderately loose" monetary policy has been set again, which is equivalent to removing a big stone in the hearts of bulls!
Strategy guide 12-13
Strategy guide
12-13